UC Davis
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 84.5207Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 7-23 215 H Florida State ACC ( 4-12, 82.8) 13- 6 217 N Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 6, 90.7) 4-20 220 H Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 86.5) 11-12 223 A California ACC ( 6-11, 82.8) 13-12 228 A Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 81.8) 9-10 302 N Delaware State Northeast ( 0-17, 59.7) 20- 5 307 H Stonehill Northeast (13- 7, 78.5) 19- 7 313 H Marist Metro Atlan ( 4-12, 77.5) 15- 4 323 A Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 12-13 328 H Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 15- 8 404 H San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 18- 8 411 A Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 11-19 419 H Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 6-13 425 A Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 6-19 430 A Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 7-22
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Stanford 7-23 -16 -13 -1.23
215 H Florida State 13- 6 7 3 + 3.87
217 N Cornell 4-20 -16 -6 --- -7.77
220 H Southern California 11-12 -1 -1 -0.36
223 A California 13-12 1 0 0.66
228 A Oregon 9-10 -1 1 - -2.37
302 N Delaware State 20- 5 15 25 0.00
307 H Stonehill 19- 7 12 7 ++ 4.62
313 H Marist 15- 4 11 8 + 2.60
323 A Marquette 12-13 -1 -3 1.85
328 H Cincinnati 15- 8 7 3 ++ 4.08
404 H San Diego State 18- 8 10 6 + 3.72
411 A Arizona State 11-19 -8 -4 -- -4.20
419 H Colorado 6-13 -7 -8 1.02
425 A Florida 6-19 -13 -10 - -2.73
430 A Florida 7-22 -15 -10 - -3.73
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 N Cornell 4-20 -16 -6 --- -7.77 411 A Arizona State 11-19 -8 -4 -- -4.20 228 A Oregon 9-10 -1 1 - -2.37 425 A Florida 6-19 -13 -10 - -2.73 430 A Florida 7-22 -15 -10 - -3.73 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Stonehill 19- 7 12 7 ++ 4.62 328 H Cincinnati 15- 8 7 3 ++ 4.08 215 H Florida State 13- 6 7 3 + 3.87 313 H Marist 15- 4 11 8 + 2.60 404 H San Diego State 18- 8 10 6 + 3.72 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 7-23 -3.98 36.19 1.37 1.08 -1.42
3 H Florida State ( 4-12, 82.8) 13- 6 -17.14 23.02 -1.37 1.08 46.89
3 N Cornell ( 9- 6, 90.7) 4-20 -9.15 31.02 -0.00 1.08 -4.95
3 H Southern Calif ( 8- 9, 86.5) 11-12 -13.37 26.80 -1.37 1.08 -7.98
3 A California ( 6-11, 82.8) 13-12 -17.08 23.08 1.37 1.08 52.95
3 A Oregon ( 6-10, 81.8) 9-10 -18.12 22.05 1.37 1.08 -9.07
3 N Delaware State ( 0-17, 59.7) 20- 5 -40.17 1.00 -0.00 1.08 2.17
3 H Stonehill (13- 7, 78.5) 19- 7 -21.40 18.77 -1.37 1.08 37.69
3 H Marist ( 4-12, 77.5) 15- 4 -22.41 17.76 -1.37 1.08 35.49
3 A Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 12-13 -13.90 26.27 1.37 1.08 -6.78
3 H Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 15- 8 -16.93 23.23 -1.37 1.08 47.35
3 H San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 18- 8 -20.30 19.87 -1.37 1.08 40.07
3 A Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 11-19 -12.95 27.22 1.37 1.08 -6.27
3 H Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 6-13 -5.99 34.18 -1.37 1.08 -3.98
3 A Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 6-19 -6.48 33.69 1.37 1.08 -2.77
3 A Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 7-22 -6.48 33.69 1.37 1.08 -2.77
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216.61
|
winning pts = 262.5959 losing points = -45.9885
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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